Abstract

Multivariate drought indices including various hydrological processes into account can be more valuable under climatic and anthropogenic changes. Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardized precipitation Actual Evapotranspiration Index (SPAEI) are the drought indices used to estimate drought index, considering precipitation, and evapotranspiration (ET) into account. Many studies used empirical, machine learning, and process-based model estimates of ET for the calculation of drought indices of SPEI and SPAEI. However, the sensitivity of ET estimates on drought characteristics at the catchment scale is highly complex. The present study aimed to include and analyze the sensitivity of various approaches of empirical (Budyko, Penman–Monteith, Hargreaves, and Turc), modeled (SWAT), and remote sensing (MODIS) in the drought characterization using SPEI and SPAEI. The present methodology was tested on a dry-sub-humid river catchment of India, the Tunga-Bhadra River catchment for the period of 2000–2012. The performance of statistical indicators (Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency and R2) for SPEI values by various empirical methods of Potential Evapotranspiration (PET) (i) Penman–Monteith (ii) Hargreaves against remote sensing PET were 0.93 and 0.95, respectively, which are high in comparison with SWAT simulated PET-based SPEI values, which shows NSE values of 0.85 against remote sensing PET-based SPEI.

Abstract

Event-based models focus on modelling of peak runoff from rainfall data. Conceptual models indicate simplified models that provide reasonably accurate answers despite their crude nature. Rainfall-runoff models are used to transform a rainfall event into a runoff event. This paper focuses on reviewing computational simulation of rainfall-runoff processes over a catchment. Lumped conceptual, event-based rainfall-runoff models have remained the dominant practice for design flood estimation in Australia for many years due to their simplicity, flexibility, and accuracy under certain conditions. Attempts to establish regionalization methods for prediction of design flood hydrographs in ungauged catchments have seen little success. Therefore, as well as reviewing key rainfall-runoff model components for design flood estimation with a special focus on event-based conceptual models, this paper covers the aspects of regionalization to promote their applications to ungauged catchments.

Abstract

Atmospheric methane (CH4) is a potent climate change agent responsible for a fraction of global 20 warming. The present study investigated the spatial and temporal variability of atmospheric column-averaged (X) CH4 (XCH4) concentrations using Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT) and TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument onboard the Sentienl-5 Precursor (S5P/TROPOMI) data from 2009 to 2022 over the South Asia region. During the study period, the long-term trends in XCH4 increased from 1700 ppb to 1950 ppb with an annual growth rate of 8.76 ppb year-1 25 . Among all natural and anthropogenic sources of CH4, the rate of increase in XCH4 was higher over the Mundra thermal power station and Mundra ultra mega power plant at about 9.62 ppb year-1 , followed by the coal site at about 8.76 ppb year-1 (Korba). With a growth rate of 8.61 ppb year-1 , the Sundarbans natural wetland competes with coal sites, producing over 30 MT, indicating an equivalent anthropogenic source. For the 15 Indian Agroclimatic zones, 30 significant high emissions of CH4 were observed over the Middle Gangetic Plains (MGP), Trans Gangetic Plains (TGP), Upper Gangetic Plains (UGP), East Coast Plains & Hills (ECPH), Lower Gangetic Plains (LGP) and East Gangetic Plains (EGP). Further, the bottom-up anthropogenic CH4 emissions data are mapped against the XCH4 concentrations and found high correlation in the Indo Gangetic Plains (IGP) region, indicating the hotspots of anthropogenic CH4. The present study 35 highlighted the impact of natural and anthropogenic sources of XCH4 and quantified the spatiotemporal changes in XCH4 at each study site over the Indian region

Abstract

Hallucinations in large language models(LLMs) have recently become a significantproblem. A recent effort in this directionis a shared task at Semeval 2024 Task 6,SHROOM, a Shared-task on Hallucinationsand Related Observable Overgeneration Mis-takes. This paper describes our winning so-lution ranked 1st and 2nd in the 2 sub-tasksof model agnostic and model aware tracks re-spectively. We propose a meta-regressor basedensemble of LLMs based on a random forestalgorithm that achieves the highest scores onthe leader board. We also experiment with var-ious transformer based models and black boxmethods like ChatGPT, Vectara, and others. Inaddition, we perform an error analysis com-paring ChatGPT against our best model whichshows the limitations of the former

Abstract

Wikipedia is a highly essential platform because of its informative, dynamic, and easily accessible nature. To identify topics/titles warranting their own Wikipedia article, editors of Wikipedia defined "Notability" guidelines. So far notability is enforced by humans, which makes scalability an issue. There has been no significant work on Notability determination for titles with complex category dependencies. We design a mechanism to identify such titles. We construct a dataset with 9k such titles and propose a category-agnostic approach utilizing Graph neural networks, for their notability determination. Our system outperforms machine learning-based, transformer-based classifiers and entity salience methods. It provides a scalable alternative for notability detection.

Abstract

Given a retail transactional database, the objective of high-utility pattern mining is to discover high-utility itemsets (HUIs), i.e., itemsets that satisfy a user-specified utility threshold. In retail applications, when purchasing a set of items (i.e., itemsets), consumers seek to replace or substitute items with each other to suit their individual preferences (e.g., Coke with Pepsi, tea with coffee). In practice, retailers, too, require substitutes to address operational issues like stockouts, expiration, and other supply chain constraints. The implication is that items that are interchangeably purchased, i.e., substitute goods, are critical to ensuring both user satisfaction and sustained retailer profits. In this regard, this work presents (i) an efficient model to identify HUIs containing substitute goods in place of items that require substitution, (ii) the SubstiTution-based Itemset indeX (STIX) to retrieve HUIs containing substitutes, and (iii) an experimental study to depict the benefits of the proposed approach w.r.t. a baseline method.

Abstract

This study proposed a nonparametric copula hazard framework in the joint risk of river water temperature (RWT) and low flow (LF) events for aquatic ecosystems, specifically ectotherm fish. This nonparametric copula density can adapt to any mutual dependence structure, providing greater flexibility. This can reduce the risk of misspecification if the underlying assumption is violated compared to conventional parametric or semiparametric copula settings. The analysis uses nonparametric copulas densities like Beta kernel copula estimator (BKCE), Bernstein copula estimator (BCE), and Transformation kernel estimator (TKE), conjoined with Gaussian Kernel density estimations (GKDEs) and parametric marginals for joint annual maximum RWT (AMRWT) and LF. The study compares different models for analyzing five Swiss river basins: parametric copulas with best-fitted GKDE and parametric margins, versus nonparametric copula. Six bandwidth selectors are estimated to fit GKDE. BKCE with GKDE margins outperformed most stations, while TKE and BCE density with GKDE margins work best for only one station. However, at one station, BKCE with best-fitted parametric margins is outperformed. All stations except Station 2473 are characterized by temperature and low flows that may be conducive to stress of a number of aquatic species, causing high AMRWT (exceeding 19 °C) and minimum LF or specific discharge, SD) quantiles at low AND-joint return periods (RP). AND (i.e. low flow AND high temperature) hazard events are less likely to occur together than OR hazard events, while univariate RPs happen more often than OR-joint RPs. In addition, the joint RP of AMRWT, given LF at different percentiles, significantly affected AMRWT for various LF conditions. Higher AMRWT with low flow conditions results in lower joint RP (except station 2473), and this stress level would be reduced when conditioned with high LF events at the same AMRWT. Station 2473 has high LF even at low percentiles, and with low AMRWT makes it very less stressful than other station under different LF conditions. Summer river flow maintenance can improve aquatic environments with high RWT. Analyzing joint statistics is crucial to understanding mutual risk in freshwater ecosystems.

Abstract

Background The authors had previously developed AnaVu, a low-resource 3D visualization tool for stereoscopic/ monoscopic projection of 3D models generated from pre-segmented MRI neuroimaging data. However, its utility in neuroanatomical education compared to conventional methods (specifically whether the stereoscopic or mono- scopic mode is more effective) is still unclear. Methods A three-limb randomized controlled trial was designed. A sample (n = 152) from the 2022 cohort of MBBS students at Government Medical College, Thiruvananthapuram (GMCT), was randomly selected from those who gave informed consent. After a one-hour introductory lecture on brainstem anatomy and a dissection session, students were randomized to three groups (S – Stereo; M – Mono and C – Control). S was given a 20-min demonstration on the brainstem lesson module in AnaVu in stereoscopic mode. M was given the same demonstration, but in mono- scopic mode. The C group was taught using white-board drawn diagrams. Pre-intervention and post-intervention tests for four domains (basic recall, analytical, radiological anatomy and diagram-based questions) were conducted before and after the intervention. Cognitive loads were measured using a pre-validated tool. The groups were then swapped -S→ M, M →S and C→S, and they were asked to compare the modes. Results For basic recall questions, there was a statistically significant increase in the pre/post-intervention score difference of the S group when compared to the M group [p = 0.03; post hoc analysis, Bonferroni corrections applied] and the C group [p = 0.001; ANOVA test; post hoc analysis, Bonferroni corrections applied]. For radiological anatomy questions, the difference was significantly higher for S compared to C [p < 0.001; ANOVA test; post hoc analysis, Bon- ferroni corrections applied]. Cognitive load scores showed increased mean germane load for S (33.28 ± 5.35) and M

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic wrought havoc across India, particularly during its devastating second and third waves. This study undertakes a crucial epidemiological analysis of these waves, leveraging actual variant count data. Given limited sequencing efforts, variant information is sparse, prompting a novel approach to scaling up with actual case data. Employing a multi-strain variant-level SEIRS model tailored to each Indian state, we modeled the disease’s propagation. We report the estimated parameters of the SEIRS models for the two waves separately. Notably, the transmission coefficients ( ) were estimated to be 0.12 for Kappa, 0.35 for Delta, and 0.38 for Omicron. These coefficients signify the contagiousness of each variant, offering critical information for understanding and managing the pandemic’s dynamics. The findings hold significant implications for public health strategies, emphasizing the urgency of comprehensive variant tracking and proactive measures to mitigate the impact of evolving viral strains.

Abstract

Deep Learning (DL) finds application in several prominent fields, including computer vision, natural language processing, and bioinformatics. The proliferation of DL-based methods has brought to notice critical issues about bias (or unfairness) in classification and weak privacy guarantees of the training data. It is crucial to prioritize addressing these issues to prevent the potentially significant negative impact on users. While there has been progress, majority of the works focus on independently resolving fairness and privacy. We propose a tutorial on “Fair and Private Deep Learning” – aimed to provide an exhaustive discussion on (i) reasons behind unfair classifications and lack of privacy, (ii) fairness notions in literature and methods to ensure them, (iii) differentially private DL, and (iv) algorithms that address fair and private DL simultaneously. Moreover, in this tutorial, we not just limit our attention to classical, centralized DL models but also to the fairness and privacy challenges in distributed (or federated) DL. The code, presentation and other details are available at https://github.com/magnetar-iiith/FairPrivateDL.